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Climate change does not bode well for picky eaters

To: "Ian May" <>, "Dave Torr" <>
Subject: Climate change does not bode well for picky eaters
From: "Greg and Val Clancy" <>
Date: Fri, 23 Jan 2015 12:46:44 +1100
The Japanese whale hunters claim that with the decline in the large balleen whales due to hunting the smaller Minke Whales numbers have exploded. They call them the 'cockroaches of the sea' and claim that their hunting is only controlling a species whose numbers are out of control. Therefore if they are correct then the excess plankton would be already consumed. The situation is obviously very complex and I don't think we should be making too many presumptions without good scientific evidence. Is there evidence for overall seabird population increases? I thought most were declining or at least stable.

There is solid scientific evidence for climate change and although not all of the earth's problems are caused by it to ignore the evidence is very risky for the future of humans and biodiversity in general.


Regards

Greg
Dr Greg. P. Clancy
Ecologist and Birding-wildlife Guide
| PO Box 63 Coutts Crossing NSW 2460
| 02 6649 315302 6649 3153  | 0429 601 9600429 601 960
http://www.gregclancyecologistguide.com

http://gregswildliferamblings.blogspot.com.au/





-----Original Message----- From: Ian May
Sent: Friday, January 23, 2015 11:10 AM
To: Dave Torr
Cc: birding-aus ; David Bishop
Subject: Climate change does not bode well for picky eaters

Yes, there is little doubt that the commercial Krill harvest would
contribute to a decline in the pelagic food source however if you look
at the numbers, it is most likely if the Cetacean competition for the
same food source is as great as I think it could be, it will be
uneconomic to harvest Krill soon, if not now.

------------------------------------------------------------------------



Dave Torr wrote:

I think increasing krill harvesting by humans will also play a role Ian!

On 23 January 2015 at 10:28, Ian May < <>> wrote:

    Thanks for your reply David.

    Yes I think "prior to ma's assault on whales and other cetaceans"
    the available food balance was probably of little concern
    regarding population survival, but the problem as I see it, is
    that now is a time when overall seabird numbers are artificially
    increased due to the absence of significant feeding competition
    from Cetaceans, and because of this, the entire seabird population
    is now at much greater risk of a crash from starvation if impacts
    on the same available food source are suddenly increased, as must
    be the case now, not from Climate Change, but from Cetacean
    feeding competition.

    Most people with an agricultural background will be aware of what
    happens to animals, both wildlife and domestic when severe drought
    descends on the country.  If my memory of J curve is correct, when
    a population exceeds the carrying capacity of its food source,
    there "will be" a significant population crash.  After this
    occurs, for species that have evolved to adapt to a boom bust
    cycle, most of these populations will recover, but as you would be
    aware, boom bust ecology is not how it is with seabirds and a
    major crash may well go beyond the tipping point for many of them.

    regards

    Ian May
    PO Box 110
    St Helens, TAS 7216

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------


    David Bishop wrote:

        Dear Ian,

        This sort of connectivity fascinates me. I cannot help but
        ponder your question as it makes one wonder, if you are
        correct, what were penguin numbers like prior to ma's assault
        on whales and other cetaceans? Perhaps the krill population
        was commensurately larger in those far off times?


        David  Bishop



        P. O. Box 1234, Armidale, NSW 2350, Australia
        M +61 412 737 297 <tel:%2B61%20412%20737%20297> Office +61 2
        6771 5580 <tel:%2B61%202%206771%205580>




            On 23 Jan 2015, at 9:10 am, Ian May
            < <>
            <
            <>>> wrote:

            H

            Hello Laurie

            Not wanting to upset "the believers", I cannot help but
            wonder if these researchers ever considered that a decline
            of Antarctic Krill could be caused by the exponential
            increase of Cetaceans that has occurred over the past two
            decades.   Is it true that a current population estimate
of just one species, the humpback whale has now reached 80,000 individuals? About five years ago, the population
            estimate at that time had increased to 35,000 animals?
            See

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cetaceans#Global_Population_Estimates or http://whaleone.com.au/whale-facts/

            As a part time researcher from a time nearing the end of
            the commercial whaling era when it was rare to sight a
            large whale in Australian waters, I occasionally pondered
            the effects on the pelagic world from competition on the
            basic marine food source impacted by the presence or
            absence of Cetaceans.
            My conclusion was that you cannot have your krill and eat
            it too.

            regards


            Ian May
            PO Box 110
            St Helens, 7216


            
------------------------------------------------------------------------



            Laurie Knight wrote:

                The following study contrasts the fortunes of
                Chinstrap and Gentoo Penguins

                see

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/01/150120121304.htm

                Original study: MJ Polito, WZ Trivelpiece, WP
                Patterson, NJ Karnovsky, CS Reiss, SD Emslie.
                Contrasting specialist and generalist patterns
                facilitate foraging niche partitioning in sympatric
                populations of Pygoscelis penguins. Marine Ecology
                Progress Series, 2015; 519: 221 DOI: 10.3354/meps11095
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