There you go ... the BAP says 'maybe 50' back in 2000, but do the
arithmetic - it can't be that low if the NP is extant and so widespread!
Interesting modelling question for someone with a few hours to kill. How
many NPs are there at a minimum, based on occupancy estimates from a MAXENT
model or something similar.
:-)
++++++++++++
Lawrie Conole
54 High Street
Kyneton 3444
Australia
lconole[at]gmail.com
03 5417 2245
On 10 August 2013 11:25, <> wrote:
> Hi Lawrie,
>
> I've also often wondered why that figure gets bandied about. I blame a
> non-inquiring media. Like you Lawrie, I can't believe there would be so
> few, for the reason you stated. I suspect someone was put on the spot by a
> journo at some point and said some offhand comment like "maybe there's as
> few as 250". One factoid born!
>
> Eric
>
> On 10/08/2013, at 10:42 AM, "Lawrie Conole" <> wrote:
>
> > Thanks for posting that David.
> >
> > The 'factoid' repeated in this story and in various versions elsewhere -
> > that there are only 50-250 Night Parrots in existence - continues to
> amaze
> > me. Having just completed a PVA (population viability analysis) for
> > Carnaby's Cockatoo, I have contemplated some of the demographic factors
> > that allow a species to persist. If, as it appears likely, that Night
> > Parrots still exist in SW Qld and NW WA (and tantalisingly maybe in NW
> > Vic), there would have to be >250 birds extant across this broad brown
> > land, surely. Maybe the difficulty associated with finding the things
> > clouds otherwise clear heads, and generates low estimates in an attempt
> to
> > rationalise the tiny number of sightings by biologists/naturalists??
> >
> > L.
> >
> > ++++++++++++
> > Lawrie Conole
> > Kyneton 3444
> > Australia
> > lconole[at]gmail.com
> > ===============================
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