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Re: Scottish Seabird Disaster Article

Subject: Re: Scottish Seabird Disaster Article
From: Walter Knapp <>
Date: Sun, 01 Aug 2004 16:17:42 -0400
From: "Neville Recording" <>

>
> Thanks for the article Martyn ,although it is truly a sad story.
>
> I think it should help to change the minnds of any sceptics of global war=
ming.

It's a great leap from the seabird problem to that. Remember, these
seabirds have got along fine through many ice ages and the following
global warmings.

I'll get a bit less sceptical about the global warming, which is based
on computer models, when those models can take as input a 3000% increase
in carbon dioxide without predicting crispy critters. 3000% is the
estimated amount greater than now that carbon dioxide was in the age of
dinosaurs. The models now predict crispy critters at only a few tens of
percent increase.

Having worked a lot with computer models in air quality I learned it was
best to trust only models that could predict something like real data.

In Georgia last year we had a very poor success rate in breeding of many
amphibians (including frogs). This year they are going great guns, more
than making up for it.

So, let's hold off the hair shirts and floggings just yet.

Walt




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