canberrabirds

Estimating numbers (raptor counting in Texas) [SEC=PERSONAL]

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Subject: Estimating numbers (raptor counting in Texas) [SEC=PERSONAL]
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Date: Thu, 18 Mar 2010 12:01:13 +1100

I was lucky enough to spend a few days at the raptor migration watch near Corpus Christi on the gulf coast of Texas about 10 years ago. There are a number of these ‘Hawk Watches’ across the states and they have been running for many years now. Whilst everyone present contributes to spotting the rarer raptors moving through the official counting is left to a small group of 4 or 5 observers whom cross check their figures after every ‘kettle’ of raptors moves by. A ‘kettle’ is the US term for a tight flock of raptors as they rise rapidly on the thermals. Many of the sites, including the Corpus Christi site, employ a professional bird counter supplemented by very experienced observers to do these counts.

 

The professional coordinator at Corpus Christi was a Mexican guy who had honed his raptor counting skills at Vera Cruz on the Mexican Gulf coast where millions of birds of prey are counted every year during the Autumn migration.

 

The reason I am bringing this up is that the small group of counters were extremely accurate with their counts. Occasionally they would check their counts against photos of a flock but generally they just checked against each other. In come cases they may have 1 minute to count a flock of 500 Broad-winged Hawks whilst also picking out the lower numbers of other species mixed in. With small numbers like 500 the counters were usually within 5-10 birds of each other.

 

In the larger ‘kettles’ they may have up to 5 minutes (often a lot less) to count 5-10,000 birds. The counters were still usually within 100 birds of each other. Quite remarkable really for a constantly swirling flock of birds that is rising out of view. They would vary their counting from individual birds, pair counting (2, 4, 6, 8), fives, tens, twenties, fifties, hundreds depending on the size of the flock. They would never count in blocks of more than a 100 and several of the counters would not even go this high. They would use clickers to aid the counting process.

 

So confirming Geoffrey’s statement, they knew what 100 birds looked like. Importantly they also had a very good feel for what 100 birds looked like at 100m altitude and 800m altitude – a very different spectacle. Basically lots of experience and practise.

 

As for counting seabirds on a pelagic trip when birds come and go as they visit and re-visit a boat – well that really is a nightmare.

 

Cheers Dan

 

-----Original Message-----
From: Geoffrey Dabb [
Sent:
Thursday, 18 March 2010 11:20
To:
Subject: [canberrabirds] Estimating numbers

 

Very interesting.  Estimates mentioned to me ranged from a wary ‘0 – not starlings’ to ‘200-300’.  It might or might not be helpful if I told you that each of the first 4 coloured sections represents 50 birds:

 

numbers.jpg

 

I would think that very few people would know, intuitively, what 200 birds ‘looks like’.  Barbara P mentioned the semi-counting method of counting 10  -  then counting the number of tens.  That depends on having the flock in view for long enough.  John Rawsthorne – an old sheep-counter like a few others – said if it looks like 100 it’s probably twice that number.  That is, in  a way, knowing what 200 ‘looks like’  -  it looks like 100.  That kind of knowledge comes from knowing at some stage the actual number of estimated quantities, so perhaps the sheep counters have an advantage.

 

As a matter of interest there are 436 birds in each of these pictures:

 

starlings 3.jpg

 

starlings 2_4041.jpg

 

 

 

 

 

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