Hi Benj,
All you say is quite correct. The GBS Report does
say this (some bits put in bold here):
Black-shouldered Kite Elanus axillaris
This is a conspicuous small raptor with obvious hunting method of hovering
over grassland and habit of perching on the pinnacle of dead tree tops or power
lines. It is interesting that the results for this species confirm the
independently known very irregular pattern of abundance. Even though
overall it is a fairly common species of raptor, its occurrence is
inconsistent. Because of its habitat preferences, records are likely to
be influenced by locations of observers bordering large open areas. However,
that cannot be the full story as there is always a selection of sites fitting
that description. The Nankeen Kestrel, with similar habitat preferences,
shows no similar population variability and both these species readily fly over
suburban areas close to favoured habitats. This species is more of a specialist
hunter than other local raptors, with a strong preference for rodents. Rodent
numbers are also very variable, not just locally but in surrounding parts of NSW
and this bird probably responds to this. As with other raptors, its seasonal
pattern shows an increase during the breeding season. This raptor is unusual
however in that it is a winter breeder. Numbers are at a peak in July then drop
smoothly down to a minimum by February, with an immediate rise from March to
June leading to the July peak. Numbers by year were high in the first
two years followed by a drop in 1983. Numbers then built up inconsistently but
slowly for the next nine years with a peak in 1993, then a drop off and increase
again. One breeding record, a nest July to August in Year 12 at Site
236. Graphs on page: 92, Rank: 73, Breeding Rank: 80, A = 0.01796,
F = 12.22%, W = 25.7, R = 1.456%,
G = 1.23. I would add that none of the falcons build their
own nest, the kestrel nests in hollows, on buildings, and in other birds
discarded nests like chough's nest and stick nests (the later is what most
of the falcons do). The two species do compete for prey to some small
extent as in they don't have completely separate diet, more just different
proportions. I believe the kestrel eats more birds than the BsK. I don't think
that "when one is common the other leaves", they can partition prey preferences
but when there is a real mouse plague, there is more than enough food for all
the avian predators available.
As for "professional birders on the list" you are
right. Whether or not someone is a professional anything, primarily relates
to whether they earn money from it and this is not related to
having a University degree.
Philip
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