| Harvey is correct.
I am 0ystercatcher on Flickr (the first character is a zero not an ‘O’) and
the Hooded Plover is one of my images which has been flipped. I was unaware that it had been used but, while I would have appreciated
prior request, I am always happy for my images to be used for non-commercial
educational and scientific purposes.
Regards, Leo.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sent: Thursday, May 16, 2013 8:59 AM
Subject: RE: [canberrabirds] Fw: [Birding-Aus]
Study report: Climate change adaptation strategies for Australian birds
[SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
David, Denis,
My take on it was that the photo (of a Hooded Plover, though not
identified as such) was credited to a photographer whose Flickr pseudonym is
Oystercatcher.
Cheers,
Harvey
From: Denis Wilson
[
Sent: Wednesday, 15 May 2013 7:10
PM
To: David Rosalky
Cc: COG bird
discussions
Subject: Re: [canberrabirds] Fw: [Birding-Aus] Study
report: Climate change adaptation strategies for Australian
birds
Nicely observed,
David.
So much for good science, when they mess up such obvious
things.
Denis
Wilson
If you're not pissed off with the World,
you're just not paying attention.
(Kasey Chambers)
"The Nature of
Robertson"
www.peonyden.blogspot.com.au
On Wed, May 15, 2013 at
2:04 PM, David Rosalky <m("webone.com.au","davros");" target="_blank">>
wrote:
Looks like an interesting
article but my confidence was sent a little askew
when the "Cover image" is
described as an Oyster Catcher, when, in fact, it
is a Hooded Plover!
No
wonder these species are going extinct!
David R
-----Original
Message-----
From: Tony Lawson [mailto:m("homemail.com.au","tlawson");">]
Sent: Wednesday, 15
May 2013 1:01 PM
To: COG chatline
Subject: [canberrabirds] Fw:
[Birding-Aus] Study report: Climate change
adaptation strategies for
Australian birds
-----Original
Message-----
From: colin trainor
To: m("vicnet.net.au","birding-aus");">
Pdf available of full report:
http://www.nccarf.edu.au/publications/adaptation-strategies-australian-birds
This research identifies
Australian water birds likely to face strong
challenges or extinction from
climate change and recommends key actions to
secure and manage vulnerable
regions for the future.
Abstract
In the first continental analysis of the
effects of climate change on a
faunal group, we identified that the climate
space of 101 Australian
terrestrial and inland water bird taxa is likely to
be entirely gone by
2085, 16 marine taxa have breeding sites that are
predicted to be at least
10% less productive than today, and 55 terrestrial
taxa are likely to be
exposed to more frequent or intense
fires.
Birds confined to Cape York Peninsula, the Wet Tropics, the
Top End of the
Northern Territory (particularly the Tiwi Islands), the arid
zone, King
Island and southern South Australia (particularly
Kangaroo
Island) are most likely to lose climate space. There was some
variation in
the predictions of the 18 climate models deployed, but all
predicted that
the rainforest avifauna of Cape York Peninsula is likely to
face the
strongest challenge from climate change, particularly taxa
currently
confined to the Iron and McIlwraith Ranges. For marine birds, those
nesting
on Lord Howe and Norfolk Islands, the Great Barrier Reef and the
Houtman
Abrolhos are likely to face the greatest declines in local
marine
productivity. Changes in local marine productivity may also affect
the
endemic terrestrial birds of these islands, for which no climate
modelling
was possible. A small group of beach-nesting and saltmarsh birds
may be
affected by sea level rise.
Many taxa, and particularly seabirds,
are potentially highly sensitive to
climate change based on a set of
ecological and morphological metrics. Small
island taxa were most likely to
be both exposed and sensitive to climate
change, followed by marine and
shoreline taxa. While threatened birds were
more likely than non-threatened
taxa to be exposed or sensitive to climate
change, or both, a substantial
proportion was neither.
A key action that needs to be undertaken
immediately is fine scale modelling
of regions identified as having numerous
highly exposed bird taxa, in order
to identify climatic refugia within the
landscape. Such refugia can then be
secured and managed appropriately for the
future.
The most urgent ongoing action is monitoring, with support for the
Atlas of
Australian Birds seen as a particularly cost-effective
investment.
In the future, the most expensive actions will be management of
refugia, and
captive breeding should all other approaches to conservation in
the wild
fail. However, most of those for which captive breeding is
recommended as a
last resort are subspecies of species that are widespread,
either in
Australia or in New Guinea.
For in situ management, the
most important actions will be those that are
already important - fire
management, weed and feral animal control and, for
marine taxa, controls on
fishing. A small number of species-specific actions
are suggested, and there
appears to be no urgent requirement for corridors
for the maintenance of taxa
likely to be threatened with extinction - those
few taxa not already living
in areas where there are likely to be refugia
will require assistance to
colonise new climate space.
The cost of management over the next 50 years
for persistence in the face of
climate change of the 396 bird taxa that are
very highly exposed, sensitive
or both is estimated at $18.8 million per year
-
$47,700 per year for each taxon. The biggest ongoing costs are
monitoring
and direct species management but refugia management and captive
breeding
may eventually be needed, and will be much more
expensive.
Please cite this report as:
Garnett, S, Franklin,
D,
Ehmke, G, VanDerWal, J, Hodgson, L, Pavey, C, Reside, A, Welbergen,
J,
Butchart, S, Perkins, G, Williams, S 2013 Climate change
adaptation
strategies for Australian birds, National Climate Change
Adaptation
Research Facility, Gold Coast. pp.109.
Visit the research
project
page
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